Could Hillary Lose Democratic Heartland of New York To Trump?

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Hillary Clinton could have a fight on her hands in New York if she and Donald Trump win their political parties' respective nominations to the presidency.

According to private polling obtained by the New York Post, Trump's support in his own backyard is 'surprisingly strong' despite the state's history of voting for Democrats.

If former New York City Major Michael Bloomberg gets in as an independent, the road to the White House gets even tougher for Clinton, the Post's sources said.

Bloomberg would take away a 'significant' amount of votes from Clinton, they told the Post.

Barack Obama won the state both times he ran with 63 percent of the vote. An ex-New York senator, Clinton was expected to do at least as well.

The last time New York voted for a Republican was 1984, when Ronald Reagan was on the ballot.

Trump's candidacy could throw that into jeopardy. The billionaire was born in Queens and has made New York City his home.

Clinton and her husband bought a house there in 1999, during Bills final term in office, so she could run for the U.S. Senate.

She won the 2000 race and held the position for until 2008 when she was asked to serve in President Obama's cabinet as secretary of state.

Since resigning, in early 2013, Clinton has spent much of her time in New York, working for her family's foundation, aside from her 2016 run for the White House, that is.

Still, she's no native New Yorker like Trump, and that could help the billionaire secure a victory in the state and collect all its delegates come November.

A major problem for Clinton is likeability.

'In the suburbs and upstate, Trump has a net positive while Hillary is a net negative,' a Republican operative told the New York Post. 'She’s more of a liability than many Democrats realized.'

The confidential polls suggested that Trump's supporters are more intense and may be more lilkely than Hillary's backers to vote.

A Siena College poll released earlier this month shows that Trump isn't very well-liked in New York, either, though.

Seven in 10 New York voters said he's not their cup of joe. He did better with Republicans, but barely made it out of the red.

Five in 10 members of his own political party said they like him, and 43 percent said they do not.

Democrats were against him 87-12. Dragging down his numbers further, two thirds of independents said they're not hot on Trump.

Clinton had an overall favorability rating of 50 percent. When just Democrats were considered, that shot up to 73 percent. Republicans said 84 -14 that they don't like her. She scored better with independents than Trump, though - 53 percent gave her yeas, and 42 percent gave her nays.

More importantly, New Yorkers said they'd pick Clinton over Trump in a general election scenario.

She'd beat him 57-32, the Siena poll, which had a margin of error of plus or minus 3.8 percent, discovered.


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